WEF_FutureRoleCivilSociety_Report_2013.pdf
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World Scenario Series
The Future Role of Civil
Society
January 2013
In collaboration with KPMG International
© World Economic Forum
2013 - All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,
including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system.
The views expressed are those of certain participants in the discussion and do not necessarily
relect the views of all participants or of the World Economic Forum.
REF250413
Contents
Preface
3
Preface
The Future Role of Civil Society project was launched in June
2012 with the desire to explore the rapidly evolving space in which
civil society actors operate. The project focuses on two central
questions:
5
Executive Summary
6
Civil Society Today
6
The Recent Evolution of Civil Society
− What might the contextual environment for civil society look like
in 2030?
9
Shifting Civil Society Roles and
Relationships
− How might models of engagement for civil society, business,
government and international organizations evolve in these new
contexts?
15
Inluential Trends Within and Around Civil
Society
17
Strategic Concerns of Civil Society
Leaders
Klaus Schwab
Founder and
Executive Chairman
World Economic
Forum
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs), labour leaders, faith-
based organizations, religious leaders and other civil society
representatives play a critical and diverse set of roles in societal
development. In the last two decades these roles have shifted as
the external environment for civil society has changed. Recently,
a renewed focus on the essential contribution of civil society to a
resilient global system alongside government and business has
emerged.
17
Toolkit: Relecting on Important Trends
and Strategic Concerns
19
Looking to the Future: Critical Driving
Forces and Scenarios
19
Critical Driving Forces Shaping Civil
Society to 2030
21
Toolkit: Relecting on the Critical
Uncertainties Relevant to You
With these communities as key members of the World Economic
Forum’s multistakeholder platform, it is timely to examine the
further evolution of civil society roles and the resulting implications
for all sectors of society. The Forum’s NGO, labour and faith
communities, as well as the cross-sector Project Steering Group
and members of the network of Global Agenda Councils have
contributed extensive support and guidance to the development of
this publication.
21
Four Challenging Scenarios
24 Mad Max
26 Transparently Blurred
28 Turbulence and Trust Deicits
30 Privatized World
This report is the synthesis of insights gained from engaging
more than 200 leaders from civil society, business, government
and international organizations, and includes data from 80 expert
interviews and ive strategic foresight workshops. It is aimed at
two groups of stakeholders: civil society leaders who wish to
explore the evolving roles that they may play given future changes
in economic, political, social, technological and environmental
systems; and leaders from business, government and international
organizations who are keen to engage more closely with civil
society stakeholders, and who wish to appreciate the challenges
and opportunities surrounding their activities in light of these
important drivers of change.
32
Recurring Strategies Identiied by
Workshop Participants
33
Conclusion: Co-creating a Resilient
Society
36
Appendices
36
Using this Report as a Toolkit
38
Full List of Drivers of Change
40
Developing Your Own Scenarios
49
Selected References and Further
Reading
As such, the report is designed to be interactive. While it provides a
high-level map of current and future external environments in which
stakeholders work together to solve societal challenges, it also
provides a set of tools to enable leaders to “drill down” and identify
and address the questions of most importance and relevance
to their local context, community or organization. It does this by
highlighting key concerns, trends, scenarios and implications
and by presenting at the end of each section a set of challenging
questions that will allow leaders to adapt the material to local
concerns and circumstances.
51
Acknowledgements
Hopefully, the following insights will prove informative and thought
provoking, and the report will continue to serve as the basis for
productive and strategic conversations between stakeholders.
The Future Role of Civil Society
3
4
The Future Role of Civil Society
Executive Summary
Civil society is evolving in impactful and dynamic ways.
By being engaged with government, business and international
organizations, civil society actors can and should provide the
resilient dynamism the world urgently needs. The power and
inluence of civil society are growing and should be harnessed to
create trust and enable action across sectors.
Deinitions are changing as civil society is recognized as
encompassing far more than a mere “sector” dominated by the
NGO community: civil society today includes an ever wider and
more vibrant range of organized and unorganized groups, as
new civil society actors blur the boundaries between sectors and
experiment with new organizational forms, both online and off.
The changes that civil society is undergoing strongly suggest that it
should no longer be viewed as a “third sector”; rather, civil society
should be the glue that binds public and private activity together in
such a way as to strengthen the common good.
Roles are also changing: civil society actors are demonstrating
their value as facilitators, conveners and innovators as well as
service providers and advocates, while the private sector is
playing an increasingly visible and effective role in tackling societal
challenges. Renewed interest in the role of faith is identifying
powerful sources of social capital.
In playing this role, civil society actors need to ensure they retain
their core missions, integrity, purposefulness and high levels of
trust. The world will always need independent organizations and
individuals to act as watchdogs, ethical guardians and advocates
of the marginalized or under-represented. Civil society in all its
forms has an important role in holding all stakeholders, including
itself, to the highest levels of accountability.
Furthermore, the context for civil society is changing: economic
and geopolitical power is shifting away from Europe and North
America; technology is disrupting traditional funding models and
dramatically shifting social engagement; and political pressures are
restricting the space for civil society activities in many countries. All
of these shifts pose challenges, create opportunities and require
rapid adaptation on the part of traditional actors.
The shifting deinitions, roles and contexts described in this report
suggest that leaders across civil society, business, government
and international organizations possess the opportunity to harness
these shifts in order to design new solutions to societal challenges.
Civil society can play a particularly powerful role in this process as
an enabler and constructive challenger, creating the political and
social space for collaborations that are based on the core values of
trust, service and the collective good.
Underpinning all of this is the sense that civil society in 2013 is a
vibrant, diverse and evolving space, which is increasingly innovative
in its attempts to solve societal challenges and support local,
national and global governance.
Looking forward to 2030, civil society leaders need to understand
how shifting external contexts will shape their opportunities to
achieve impact, and, in particular, what this evolution means for
their relationships with businesses, governments and international
organizations. In a turbulent and uncertain environment, actors
can no longer work well in isolation – new, more effective ways
of tackling societal challenges will inevitably transcend traditional
sector boundaries. This means civil society actors need to look
to unusual sources for inspiration and relevance in order to adapt
successfully.
Four future contexts are particularly challenging for civil society
actors to consider in light of these shifting roles.
Mad Max raises the spectre of international conlict;
Transparently Blurred focuses on the impact of openness and
technology;
Turbulence and Trust Deicits looks at the prospect of low
growth combined with low institutional trust; and
Privatized World asks what civil society would do if the corporate
sector were the primary actor “for the common good”.
These scenarios allow civil society leaders to test strategies and
think through opportunities presented by a rapidly changing world.
The Future Role of Civil Society
5
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